Avatar
All Posts by Empower Wisconsin

If the Democrats win everything

Empower Wisconsin | Oct. 19, 2020

By Robert Verbruggen, National Review 

We’re weeks from Election Day. There’s still time for the polls to tighten, and the polls might just be wrong anyway.

But boy, do those polls not look good right now. The most likely outcome at this point is for the Republicans to lose the presidency and the Senate, giving the Democrats control of the entire federal-lawmaking apparatus.

At this writing, FiveThirtyEight gives Democrats an 87 percent chance at the presidency, a 73 percent shot at reclaiming the Senate, and a 95 percent chance to keep the House. The “no toss-ups” maps at RealClearPolitics have Biden winning the Electoral College 374–164 and Democrats taking the Senate 51–49. (Bear in mind that the vice president breaks ties in the Senate, so a 50-50 split coupled with a Biden-Harris victory would still give the edge to the Democrats.) For weeks the betting market PredictIt has given the Democrats a better-than-even shot at a “clean sweep.”

If the Democrats do in fact win everything, we could be in for a miserable and acrimonious couple of years.

Toward the top of the agenda will be an intra-party debate over whether to kill the legislative filibuster and pack the Supreme Court. I highly doubt they’ll have the votes for the latter, and with a narrow margin even the former will be out of reach because some moderates are sure to balk. But there’s at least a chance the Democrats could have unified control and no limits on how they use it.

If the filibuster goes, the Democrats can pass just about anything that 50 senators agree to. And even with the filibuster intact, the party can achieve many things through the “budget reconciliation” process. That’s how the Republicans passed their tax bill in 2017, and it’s how they tried to handle health-care reform too. (The big rule for a reconciliation bill is that each provision must affect the budget.)

Democrats’ priorities will obviously depend on their margin of victory. But Biden wants to ban “assault weapons”; further expand the government’s role in health care, including by having a public plan “compete” with private options and lowering the age for Medicare eligibility at great cost; hike taxes, especially, but not exclusively, on higher earners; and much more.

Read more at National Review. 

Listen to more:

Explore More
Equity unchecked

Equity unchecked

By The MacIver Institute MADISON — The Lodi School Board was surprised to learn how much work the superintendent had…

Read More »

May 18, 2021
Hypocrite Whitmer’s COVID travels

Hypocrite Whitmer’s COVID travels

By John Fund, National Review California Gov. Gavin Newsom saw his poll numbers tumble and interest in a recall election…

Read More »

May 18, 2021
Evers Incompetence lotteries

Evers Incompetence lotteries

MADISON — Still on the fence about getting the COVID-19 poke? Looking for a little injection incentive like the $1…

Read More »

May 18, 2021
Evers administration fundraiser: Is it a ‘shakedown’?

Evers administration fundraiser: Is it a ‘shakedown’?

By M.D. Kittle MADISON — In the heat of the state budget battle, Gov Tony Evers’ chief administrator is taking…

Read More »

May 17, 2021
Questioning the election is not a crime

Questioning the election is not a crime

By Mollie Hemingway, The Federalist If questioning the results of a presidential election were a crime, as many have asserted…

Read More »

May 17, 2021
Tool of the Week: Bumbling Joe Biden

Tool of the Week: Bumbling Joe Biden

Whether his life support system (the mainstream media) wants to acknowledge it or not, Joe Biden — The TOOL of…

Read More »

May 17, 2021
Leave a Comment

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *